We all know what Moore’s Law is, don’t we? Named after Gordon Moore, a co-founder of Intel, Moore’s Law is the belief that transistors shrink at such a brisk pace that the number of them that can fit on a computer chip doubles every year.
Moore made this observation-cum-claim way back in 1965 and subsequently updated it in 1975 to say the number of transistors doubled every two years. And, recently plenty of tech folks have claimed that the law is DEAD. Thomas Wenisch, an assistant professor at the University of Michigan, was quoted last year in MIT Technology Review as having said that the days of jamming more and more transistors onto computer chips are nearing an end. He goes on to say, “We have to ask, is this going to be a problem for areas like mobile devices, data centers, and self-driving car. I think yes.”
Now, the question has got to be asked as to how Android and iOS app developers will be impacted by the demise of Moore’s Law. Is this truly a problem for mobile devices as Wenisch says above?
Well, I have got good news. First off, Moore’s Law is mostly applicable to Intel computer chips, not app development. Wenisch cedes this point in the MIT Technology Review saying, “You probably have a generation or two more runway in mobile.”
So, currently, app development has not yet been redefined by the death of this law simply because the phones and tablets in our pockets are not powered by Intel chips. They are powered by companies that have not been able to keep pace with Intel, which has resulted in continued growth in the app development market.
However, just because our iOS and Android app developers still have some transistor shrinking time to play with in our app development careers, it does not mean that we do not need to prepare for the future of app development by figuring out what the future trends of app development will be. I believe that Wearables, M-Commerce, and Location and Motion Sensing are the three app niches that will have the biggest impact on app development going forward.
Though the market for wearables is just getting started, it is already much larger than you probably thought. Take a look at the image to the right and tell me that you are not shocked to see just how diverse this market is. Wow, right?
According to the International Data Corporation (IDC), 125.5 million wearable devices will ship this year, which will be a 20% increase from the 2016 numbers. The IDC predicts this number will jump to 240 million by 2021.
What is great about these connected wrist bands, watches, ear-wear, eyewear, clothing and other wearables is that each of them has its own app, which is a gold mine for the app development field.
Apps that process M-Commerce transactions from platforms such as Google Wallet and Apple Pay will continue to be popular. Moreover, it is predicted that wearbles will start to play a major role in mobile payments in the near future. As m-commerce grows in acceptance and popularity, there will be an increasing demand for mobile payment app development.
This is an area that really excites me. Though we may think of location and motion sensing skills being something we do outdoors, they will also be widely used in our homes. As we prepare for the future of app development, we need to design apps that are precise as possible with motion and location sensing capabilities.
The app development field will continue to be an exciting field for many years to come. After all, the death of Moore’s Law is not directly impacting app development just yet and the future trends of app development are absolutely thrilling. In fact, I believe that Wearables, M-Commerce, and Location and Motion Sensing will not only change app development, they will change the way we, as humans, interact with each other and with the world at large for generations to come.
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